REAL ESTATE
Following steady year, sa国际传媒官网网页入口 commercial real estate brokers 鈥榗autiously optimistic鈥 about 2026
Industry leaders say tight supply, high costs will shape the year ahead
Steady, tumultuous, dynamic, transitional and promising 鈥 these are some of the words local brokers used to describe sa国际传媒官网网页入口鈥檚 commercial real estate industry in 2025.
鈥淚 thought it was better than expected,鈥 said DJ Brigman, last year鈥檚 Commercial Association of Realtors New Mexico president. 鈥淚 thought we were going to have a slow year, and we had a steady year. I think a lot of that has to do with the fact that sa国际传媒官网网页入口 is a resilient city.鈥
Commercial real estate refers to property used for business purposes, which includes offices, shopping centers and warehouses.
鈥楥autiously optimistic鈥
It was a flat year for the city鈥檚 retail market, with a slightly higher deal volume, according to Colliers Senior Vice President and Principal Ben Perich.
Perich characterized the year as transitional, largely due to challenges including high construction and labor costs and rising property taxes. The latter half of 2025 saw many local business closures, but new tenants and concepts also entered the market 鈥 a trend Perich thinks will continue this year.
鈥淲hen you have this transition, spaces start to turn over and it facilitates some new concepts,鈥 Perich said. 鈥淎s players start to move around and as properties change, that does create some deal volume.鈥
Some 鈥渕arket-moving鈥 projects from 2025 that Perich said to keep an eye on this year include renovations and incoming tenants at Cottonwood Corners shopping center on the West Side, further development at Park Square Market food halls in Uptown and the construction of the Lobo Crossing retail center on the University of New Mexico鈥檚 South Campus, Perich said.
鈥淭here鈥檚 a lot of good new stuff coming in,鈥 Perich said.
In 2026, Perich anticipates similar challenges related to cost pressures, little new construction, increased leasing activity and property owners getting creative with retrofitting and redevelopment projects.
鈥淐autiously optimistic is my attitude toward 2026,鈥 Perich said.
Seven is the new five
Cost-related challenges were also a standout factor for the office market last year, according to CBRE Vice President Scott Whitefield.
The amount of money it takes for landlords to improve and prepare office space for tenants has risen dramatically over the last several years, Whitefield said. Class A office space that would have leased for $23 per square foot just a few years ago is now leasing for $26 per square foot.
One of the ways landlords are maintaining reasonable rental rates while offsetting tenant improvement costs is by signing tenants for longer terms.
鈥淢y business partner and I have often made reference to the fact that seven is the new five,鈥 Whitefield said. 鈥淣ormally, we sold for a five-year term, and now 鈥 more often than not 鈥 we start talking about seven-year terms fairly early in the negotiation.鈥
Larger office spaces saw more activity than smaller office spaces in 2025, and vacancy rates also continued to tighten throughout the year, Whitefield said.
鈥淚鈥檓 bullish on (2026),鈥 Whitefield said. 鈥淲e think there鈥檚 going to be a fairly active market. It鈥檚 going to be an increase over last year is how we view it.鈥
Tight market, fewer options
For Colliers Vice President Tom Franchini, some trends from sa国际传媒官网网页入口鈥檚 industrial market last year included low supply, fewer sales, increased leasing activity and pricing, and minimal high-quality infrastructure.
鈥淭here aren鈥檛 a lot of choices. We鈥檙e starting to see more鈥 (but) there鈥檚 a big discrepancy between Class C space and Class A space,鈥 Franchini said. 鈥淥ur sales were down in terms of selling industrial properties. It wasn鈥檛 because of a lack of demand 鈥 it was just a lack of product. Our leasing was up quite a bit.鈥
Franchini expects consolidation of New Mexico鈥檚 cannabis industry 鈥 which grew quickly after the legalization of recreational cannabis in 2021, creating what some industry experts call an oversaturated market 鈥 to open up and bring more industrial space onto the market in 2026.
鈥楻each for the skies and strive for the moon鈥
Overall, local brokers agreed 2026 will likely present similar challenges associated with high costs, little new construction and broader economic uncertainty. But the brokers are also optimistic about the prospect of lower interest rates and some of the big projects and economic drivers 鈥 like Pacific Fusion 鈥 coming to the sa国际传媒官网网页入口 area.
Prakash Sundaram, a local developer who just started his term as president of NAIOP New Mexico this month, echoed the latter sentiment.
鈥淚鈥檓 an eternal optimist, so I think it鈥檚 going to be a great year,鈥 Sundaram said. 鈥淚鈥檇 like to see the community really come together, an increase in overall deal velocity and more companies considering locating to sa国际传媒官网网页入口. We have a great community here and I鈥檇 like to see us continue to build on that and reach for the skies and strive for the moon.鈥
Kylie Garcia covers retail and real estate for the Journal. You can reach her at kgarcia@abqjournal.com.